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The 17.6 Year Stock Market Cycle: Connecting the Panics of 1929, 1987, 2000 and 2007

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Also available on amazon.com for N/A (as of October 2, 2017 10:10 am – Details). Product prices and availability are accurate as of the date/time indicated and are subject to change. Any price and availability information displayed on the Amazon site at the time of purchase will apply to the purchase of this product.

How do we know where we are in the current stock market cycle? Are we in the midst of a new long term bull market or a market rally within an ongoing bear market?
The answers to the above questions are critical to forming an appropriate investment strategy to plan for the future. The difference between anticipating the end of a secular (or cyclical) bull market and reacting to the significant crash that follows will have a big impact on anyone's investment returns and retirement plans.
This book is concerned with cycles. A cycle is a sequence of events that repeat over time. The outcome won't necessarily be the same each time, but the underlying characteristics are the same. A good example is the seasonal cycle. Each year we have spring, summer, autumn and winter, and after winter we have spring again. But the weather can, and does, vary a great deal from one year to another. And so it is with the stock market.
Kerry Balenthiran has studied stock market data going back 100 years and discovered a regular 17.6 year stock market cycle consisting of increments of 2.2 years. He has also extrapolated the cycle forwards to provide investors with a market roadmap stretching out to 2053. He describes this in detail and outlines the changing character of the stock market through the different phases of the 17.6 year stock market cycle.
Whether you are an investment professional or private investor, this book provides a fascinating insight into the cyclical nature of the stock market and enables you to ensure that you have the right strategy for the prevailing stock market conditions.

Product Details

  • Format: Kindle Edition
  • File Size: 6392 KB
  • Print Length: 100 pages
  • Publisher: Harriman House; 1st edition (11 Mar. 2013)
  • Sold by:  Amazon Media EU S.à r.l.
  • Language: English
  • ASIN: B00BQAFQ8Y
  • Text-to-Speech: Enabled
  • X-Ray: Not Enabled
  • Word Wise: Not Enabled
  • Enhanced Typesetting: Enabled

Customer Reviews

Stock market cycle explained.

One person found this helpful.
 on 25 November 2016
By L. Di Candeloro
This is a short but very interesting book about cycles. I liked the way the author explains and walks you through his view of market cycles with logic and historical data. This could be not just another perspective and interesting read but also the right time to read it if you believe in cycles within economy/markets.

Part of me has some scepticism with regards to this kind of VooDoo stuff (maybe it should be called the Balenthiran Black Magic

One person found this helpful.
 on 28 April 2017
By WheelieDealer
Some months back I met up for lunch with Kerry Balenthiran (@17_6YrStockCyc on Tweets) because by a strange quirk he happens to work in Windsor where I live. Over Pie and Chips and Ale we got to discuss his book about a regular 17.6 year Cycle in Stocks which he has shown repeats itself over and over. Part of me has some scepticism with regards to this kind of VooDoo stuff (maybe it should be called the Balenthiran Black Magic Cycle) but over the years and having learnt more and more about stuff like Technical Analysis, Economics and Psychology, I am actually quite ready to explore such claims and see how it all stacks up.

A theory worth bearing in mind

3 people found this helpful.
 on 15 March 2013
By Credit Man
I bought this book after watching an interview of the author. His theory is, put simply, that there are consecutive cycles of share prices, each of 17.6 years. Thus share prices tend to rise for 17.6 years (a secular bull market) and then fall for 17.6 years (a secular bear market). Within each cycle there are counter cycles of 2.2 or 4.4 years when prices move with or against the overall trend.

Great cycle but will it continue?

One person found this helpful.
 on 30 March 2013
By sam
The author provides a compelling argument for the existence of fixed stock market cycles and illustrates his points well, however I personally struggle with the concept that these cycles will continue regardless of the action of central bankers and their low interest rate policies.

Intriguing

One person found this helpful.
 on 20 April 2013
By Meredith
Apparently the author of this intriguing volume is an ex rocket scientist but even so even I could understand it. Thoroughly researched and thought provoking, well worth a read.

Applied Cycle Theory

2 people found this helpful.
 on 19 March 2013
By TDL
The author has managed to tackle the subject of stock market cycles assuredly and with integrity.

An excellent book. Very short

 on 11 January 2016
By SIMON J EVANS
An excellent book. Very short, but thought provoking. I’d never quite thought about the fact that we are probably towards the end of a bear market that started in 2000, but it does make a lot of sense indeed.

Five Stars

 on 8 May 2016
By FJN
Thought provoking and very well written. Anyone interested in stock market history should read this book. Superb.
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